Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#35
Pace68.3#188
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#143
First Shot+0.2#172
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#100
Layup/Dunks+2.2#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#244
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement-2.7#296

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#73
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#83
Layups/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#62
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+2.8#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.5% n/a n/a
First Round10.6% n/a n/a
Second Round2.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 5.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.02.0 - 6.0
Quad 22.0 - 0.04.0 - 6.0
Quad 37.0 - 0.011.0 - 6.0
Quad 415.0 - 0.026.0 - 6.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 315   @ N.C. A&T W 74-66 86%     1 - 0 +1.4 +7.8 -5.6
  Nov 09, 2018 18   @ LSU L 91-97 12%     1 - 1 +11.8 +16.4 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2018 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 82-61 79%     2 - 1 +17.8 +3.0 +14.6
  Nov 19, 2018 234   Prairie View W 74-66 87%     3 - 1 +1.0 -1.6 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2018 254   @ Delaware W 84-65 77%     4 - 1 +16.3 +9.0 +7.8
  Nov 24, 2018 144   Louisiana Tech W 80-73 63%     5 - 1 +8.6 +8.9 -0.2
  Dec 01, 2018 7   @ Kentucky L 61-78 6%     5 - 2 +5.2 -2.1 +7.6
  Dec 07, 2018 298   @ Elon W 75-74 84%     6 - 2 -4.3 -3.5 -0.9
  Dec 12, 2018 343   Coppin St. W 77-54 97%     7 - 2 +5.2 -0.6 +5.9
  Dec 15, 2018 301   North Alabama W 53-48 93%     8 - 2 -6.0 -15.5 +10.1
  Dec 18, 2018 139   Radford W 65-58 71%     9 - 2 +6.3 -0.9 +8.1
  Dec 22, 2018 159   @ Samford W 83-75 58%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +11.0 +10.6 +0.4
  Dec 29, 2018 265   Chattanooga W 85-72 90%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +4.1 +3.0 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2019 295   @ VMI W 71-68 83%     12 - 2 3 - 0 -2.1 -9.6 +7.3
  Jan 10, 2019 25   Wofford L 43-72 30%     12 - 3 3 - 1 -18.3 -19.6 -3.9
  Jan 12, 2019 61   Furman W 89-79 49%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +15.3 +18.7 -3.5
  Jan 17, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina W 69-60 81%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +4.9 -4.2 +9.5
  Jan 19, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. W 75-68 37%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +15.4 +7.0 +8.5
  Jan 24, 2019 278   The Citadel W 83-60 91%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +13.5 -4.9 +16.7
  Jan 26, 2019 203   Mercer W 88-81 84%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +1.6 +2.0 -1.2
  Jan 31, 2019 295   VMI W 93-66 92%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +16.3 +11.5 +4.5
  Feb 07, 2019 159   Samford W 75-67 77%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +5.4 -4.3 +9.2
  Feb 09, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga W 78-63 79%     20 - 3 11 - 1 +11.7 +8.8 +4.0
  Feb 14, 2019 61   @ Furman L 57-67 29%     20 - 4 11 - 2 +0.8 -7.8 +8.3
  Feb 16, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 50-80 15%     20 - 5 11 - 3 -13.8 -11.9 -5.3
  Feb 21, 2019 283   Western Carolina W 79-76 OT 91%     21 - 5 12 - 3 -6.7 -11.1 +4.0
  Feb 24, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. W 60-59 59%     22 - 5 13 - 3 +3.9 -6.3 +10.3
  Feb 28, 2019 278   @ The Citadel W 100-96 80%     23 - 5 14 - 3 +0.1 +19.2 -19.2
  Mar 02, 2019 203   @ Mercer W 74-47 68%     24 - 5 15 - 3 +27.2 -2.5 +28.5
  Mar 09, 2019 159   Samford W 77-70 68%     25 - 5 +7.2 +6.8 +0.7
  Mar 10, 2019 61   Furman W 66-62 39%     26 - 5 +12.1 +7.6 +5.0
  Mar 11, 2019 25   Wofford L 58-70 21%     26 - 6 +1.5 -8.9 +10.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 26.3% 26.3% 11.6 0.2 1.2 8.4 16.4 0.2 73.7 26.3%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 26.3% 0.0% 26.3% 11.6 0.2 1.2 8.4 16.4 0.2 73.7 26.3%